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California

A wide liberal base and perceptions of electability lifted Sanders in California. Two-thirds of California voters were liberals, and Sanders won them handily with 44%. (Warren won 20%, followed by Biden with 17%.) California voters also were most apt to see Sanders as best able to beat Trump in November – 35% said so, with Biden at 28%.

That was a reversal of positions for Sanders and Biden compared with aggregate results in the other states for which we have this exit poll question (all but Alabama). This especially helped Sanders because, as elsewhere, more than six in 10 were most focused on a candidate who can beat Trump, while a third cared more about supporting one who agreed with them on major issues.

Hispanic voters played a major role. Hispanics accounted for 28% of California voters, second only to Texas in contests so far this season, and gave an overwhelming 55% of their votes to Sanders – above even his 50% in Nevada, as well as his 45% in Texas. One reason for Sanders' support among Hispanics is their comparative youth, given his strength with younger voters. Fifty-three percent of California Hispanic voters were younger than 45, compared with 35% of non-Hispanics.

Sanders may have been helped, as well, by the absence of later deciders in California, with its large share of early voters. Just 19% said they made their final decision in the last few days, least of any state.

At the same time Biden won seniors, 32-16% over Sanders, with 15% for Bloomberg, and the race was close among 45 to 64-year-olds. Biden also won moderates, 31-23% over Sanders, with an additional 24% for Bloomberg.

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Posted by Erin Burnett to ANT at March 7, 2020 at 5:40 PM

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